This past weekend, Brazil and Argentina got bounced in the quarterfinals by Paraguay and Uruguay, respectively. Moreover, Peru beat Colombia and Venezuela defeated Chile. In all the quarterfinal matches, the underdog beat the favorite. To put it in context, it'd be like if someone predicted that VCU and Butler would join UConn and Kentucky in the Final Four of 2011.
As Jonathan Wilson points out, this could mean that either the traditional powers in South American futbol, Argentina and Brazil, are playing worse of late or that the field is catching up to the giants. I would say that it's a case of the latter; globalization has a way of exporting not merely sports, but sports technique and know-how, the extent to which, it is improbable that giants remain giants for long. We've seen this in many other sports that have been 'traditionally' dominated by a handful of countries, including hockey, baseball, and basketball. Stated simply, all else being equal (which, truth be told, often ain't), modern communications and technologies make it such that successful programs and traits are more easily learnt and copied (or at least, the chances are greater that someone will successfully copy the successful). Then again, it might just be a cyclical thing, and Brazil and Argentina may rule South American futbol, yet again.
Regardless, I know this much for sure: less people around the world will be watching the semifinals of Copa America than had Brazil and Argentina survived. For example, whatever fleeting interest there may have been in Copa America in places like Canada and the USA will most likely lessen without the marquee names in the tournament. As the son of Uruguayan parents, I couldn't care less. I'll be watching Uruguay v. Peru come hell or high water. I'll probably loose sleep thinking about the game, actually.
Still, it raises for me the following question: is parity good for a sport? And if so, good for whom and under what criteria?
One clear example where parity is king and everyone is grateful for it is in the NFL. In football, most teams have a chance to be in the playoffs within a five to seven year span (roughly - I certainly don't have the numbers). The general consensus is that this is 'good' for the game because
- It gives fans in most cities the feeling that their teams have a shot at the playoffs and a run at the Super Bowl; and
- The NFL is so strong as a league and product that people will watch on TV (and companies will pay for airtime and sponsorship) regardless of whether the teams in the playoffs and Super Bowl are from small or smaller markets. Thus, money will still be made if Pittsburgh plays Green Bay for the championship, as it happened in 2011.
What's interesting is that even in the NFL, there are marquee teams with histories of winning (e.g. Steelers, Cowboys, and Packers, to name only three); thus, it's not entirely true that all teams have realistic chances at winning, because despite favorable perennial conditions that would seem to suggest otherwise (e.g. revenue sharing, absurdly lucrative national television deals, etc), some teams just have crappy management (e.g. Detroit Lions).
But I digress: it seems that when the 'good' of parity is exulted, it's done so on two parallel and differentiated lines of argument:
- Ability of the existence of parity to maintain hope for fans in most markets; and
- Ability for parity to not interfere (and perhaps assist, though not necessarily) in the ability of a league or sport to make money.
- (There's actually a sub-point here, but feel free to skip to the next paragraph: often, sport X is strong enough in popularity that regardless of who participates, there will be interest in a given match. This baseline interest in sport X, usually from fans of the sport and not necessarily of the teams in competition, is such that the monetary value of the sport doesn't diminish regardless of who plays. This is the case with the NFL, for example. This is usually what's meant by (or what I mean by) "parity not interfering in the ability of a sport to make money". Technically, the ability a sport or league to make money need not be tied to the ability to draw in a neutral observer, but in reality, I'm not sure how these two points come apart. End o' digression.)
It's this dual criteria that has led some sports pundits to argue that whether parity is good depends upon the sport and, in particular, depends on the ability of a league or sport to make money regardless of who is playing in a given match. Bill Simmons, for example, recently argued that the NBA needs the big markets with big players to play in the big games in order to generate the revenue that is integral to the existence and popularity of basketball as a whole. In this way, the second argument articulated above, namely of parity not interfering with a league or sport's ability to make money, supersedes the first (positive) argument in favor of parity, namely drumming up the hopes of most fans in most markets prior to the beginning of a season or tournament.
One should note that those who place greater weight in the second argument don't necessarily hold money and revenue-generation as the ultimate end or goal of sports (although there are certainly some people who view sports merely as a business), but rather as a means of the survival of a given sport. That is, parity can have the effect of reducing a sport's means of revenue generation, which in turn affects the sport's ability to grow and sustain itself, i.e. sustain the quality of play.
And there, perhaps, is the more 'pure' or 'intrinsic' counter-argument to the 'good' of parity: watering down the quality of a given sport.
If there is a threshold of quality, X, such that there are enough players to distribute among a set number of teams, all the better. You end up with a quality product and a diffusion of interests among the different fans of the different teams. Conceivably, the stronger the product, the greater the likelihood that any given match will be enticing to neutral observers, and the greater likelihood the sport or league makes money. Everyone wins. Or more specifically, (most) everyone's conception of good prevails (more on this in a moment).
However, it's not entirely clear that the higher the quality of the sport, the greater the likelihood to make money. Even in football, were the NFL to cut 12 teams and reduce the league to 20 teams, the quality of the product would likely increase but it's not entirely clear that the popularity would increase and thereby generate more money.
Let's set aside the 'good' of making money via sports. I think that the more interesting question about parity, and whether you think it's a prima facie good thing to have or not, is dependent upon an antecedent question: namely, what is the point of sports?
This is a big question that many have written about. All I'll say is that the question of the good of parity is tied to the question of what is the point of sports. There seems to be, at least, two reasons why people follow sports, i.e. as fans: to identify as part of a group (or team) or for the love of the activity itself. For most fans, it is a combination of both reasons, i.e. a sense of belonging and the love the activity itself. But sometimes these two reasons are in tension - what's good for the sport may mean that there are fewer teams and fewer teams with whom to identify on a deep, personal level. (Often, people will root for teams from their local cities, though certainly not always. The pull of belonging, and belonging to a team that represents you and your city, is strong and not to be ignored.)
Sometimes, parity in a sport or league means that the quality of play is diminished to accommodate a greater number of teams. Whether that's okay, and in fact desirable, may depend on whether you follow sports for the love of the sport or the love of the team, and what happens when these two reasons cannot coexist.
To finish, I'll return to the Copa America. I want Uruguay to win. Uruguay tends to play a physical style of futbol premised on defense and counter-attacking. I happen to like this style of play regardless of the sport. I like watching good and stingy defense in hockey, basketball and football, as well. But there's no deying that Lionel Messi is amazing and that as a neutral observer, I wish he was still in the tournament along with his Argentinean teammates. Just not at the cost of seeing Uruguay go out of the Copa America. So what does parity mean in the context of sporting competition between countries? I guess it depends on how much stock you put in nationalism and patriotism. But maybe that gets off the topic of parity altogether.
Vamos Uruguay! (Sorry, I couldn't help myself.)